Should you use the company’s current capital structure or optimal capital structure to calculate WACC?

Oct 21 / themodelingschool

Should You Use the Company’s Current Capital Structure or Optimal Capital Structure to Calculate WACC?

Weighted Average Cost of Capital (WACC) is a critical metric used in valuation and financial decision-making. It represents a company’s average cost of financing from both debt and equity sources, weighted by their respective proportions. WACC is an essential component in discounted cash flow (DCF) analysis, determining the rate at which future cash flows are discounted to estimate a company's value.


Current vs Optimal Capital Structure

When calculating WACC, one of the key considerations is whether to use the company’s current capital structure or its optimal capital structure. Let’s first understand what these terms mean:

- Current Capital Structure
: This represents the actual mix of debt and equity financing that the company currently has in place. It reflects the real-time proportion of debt and equity used by the company at a specific point in time.
- Optimal Capital Structure: This refers to the capital structure that minimizes the company’s cost of capital while maximizing the value of the firm. The optimal structure is theoretical and based on an analysis of what combination of debt and equity would lead to the most efficient balance of risk and return.



The Case for Using the Current Capital Structure

Using the current capital structure to calculate WACC can be suitable in situations where:

1. Short-Term Valuation or Decisions:
   - If the analysis is for short-term projects or for evaluating the value of the company in its current state, it makes sense to use the current capital structure. It reflects the actual financing costs at that particular moment, providing an accurate view of the existing situation.

2. Consistent Historical Trends:
   - If the company has had a consistent mix of debt and equity over time, and there is no plan for major changes, using the current structure is appropriate. This approach ensures that the valuation is aligned with historical financial data and risk levels.

3. Market Conditions:
   - The current structure takes into account market conditions that impact the cost of debt and equity. If market conditions are unlikely to change drastically, using the current capital structure provides a more realistic picture of financing costs.


The Case for Using the Optimal Capital Structure

In many valuation exercises, it might be more appropriate to use the optimal capital structure:

1. Long-Term Valuation and Future Planning:
   - If you are conducting a long-term valuation or planning to assess future projects and investments, using the optimal capital structure is more effective. The optimal structure considers the best possible mix of debt and equity that balances risk while minimizing the cost of capital.

2. Maximizing Firm Value:
   - The optimal capital structure is designed to maximize shareholder value by achieving the lowest possible WACC. This is particularly important for strategic decisions aimed at maximizing the firm's value in the long term.

3. Management Intentions:
   - If the management has clear plans to restructure the capital to move towards an optimal mix, using the optimal structure for calculating WACC can be more appropriate. This approach aligns the analysis with the future goals of the company.

4. Leverage and Risk Considerations:
   - The optimal capital structure takes into account the level of leverage that a company can maintain without taking on excessive risk. This helps in balancing the benefit of tax-deductible interest with the risk of financial distress associated with high levels of debt.


Example to Illustrate the Difference

Consider Company A that currently has a capital structure of 70% equity and 30% debt. However, financial analysts determine that an optimal capital structure for the industry is 50% equity and 50% debt.

- If we use the current structure to calculate WACC, we are considering higher equity costs because equity is generally more expensive than debt due to higher required returns by equity investors.
- If we use the optimal structure, the company could potentially lower its WACC by using more debt (assuming the cost of debt is lower than the cost of equity). This lower WACC would, in theory, increase the overall value of the firm, making it more competitive and efficient.


Which One Should You Use?

1. Sensitivity Analysis:
   - Since Terminal Value contributes significantly to the total DCF valuation, conducting a sensitivity analysis on the growth rate, discount rate, or exit multiple can help understand how changes in these assumptions affect the valuation.

2. Realistic Assumptions:
   - The growth rate used in the Perpetuity Growth Model should be realistic and not exceed the long-term growth of the economy. Overestimating growth can lead to an inflated Terminal Value.

3. Choice of Method:
   - The choice between the Perpetuity Growth Model and the Exit Multiple Method depends on the nature of the company and the availability of reliable data. It’s common to calculate Terminal Value using both methods and compare the results for a more informed valuation.


Conclusion

Whether to use the current capital structure or the optimal capital structure for calculating WACC is influenced by the context and purpose of the analysis. The current capital structure is best for short-term analysis and understanding immediate financing costs, while the optimal capital structure is ideal for long-term valuations, growth strategies, and maximizing the firm's value. Each approach has its strengths, and understanding the context will help you make the most appropriate choice for your valuation needs.


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